Week 4 Recap, Season update, Week 5 Salaries

Sorry I haven't had time to do a post in a while. Been busy with work, social life, and playing way too many fantasy sports contests. I should have more time once baseball ends, but no guarantees.

Week 4 Recap

Week 4 was very kind to us. Huge weeks from Shane Carden, David Cobb, and Nelson Spruce led the way for the early, while the Arizona stack of Anu Solomon and Cayleb Jones packed the punch for the late. We cashed in almost every contest this week, and my lone regret was not entering more of them. This was by far the best week so far in every way including total points, winning %, and profit.

Week Profit: $111
Season Profit: $208

Main Early lineup

Main Late Lineup

Week 5 Salaries:

Week 5 early
Week 5 late

Joe: Pac 12 week 2

Pac 12 Week 2

                  QB

                                    Brett Hundley UCLA (Home vs Memphis) $8,900 Avg Points (after 1 week) 17.5

                  Didn’t have his best game on the road against upset minded Virginia.  No passing TD and 2 Fumbles wasn’t great.  Finished with 242 in the air and 39 on the ground with 1 rushing TD.  Memphis defense only allowed 146 yards last week, but that was also against a bottom feeder team of Austin Peay.  Memphis defense last year gave up around 378 yards a game and 24 points against.  They also did not force many turnovers during last season.  The defense is a little improved but not much from last year.  This should be a good game for Hundley to put up some big numbers!

                                    Jared Goff CAL (Home vs Sacramento State)

                  Had a sold season debut against Northwestern on the road throwing for 281 yards and 3 TDs.  Leading Cal to a 31-24 win.  Sacramento State won their game against Incarnate Word 49-13.  SSU gave up 287 yards against a team that no one has really herd of.  Goff has plenty of experience returning this year at the WR core.  This could make for a big day for Jared Goff and the Cal Bears.  I could not find a cost or AVG for him.  This could be a big steal!

Hundley would be my pick out of the two as I think he is due for a big come back week and playing a very sub-par defense. 

                  RB

                                    D.J. Foster Arizona State (Away vs New Mexico)

                  Foster put up 147 yards and 3 TD’s against a Weber State.  A not so good defense but still solid effort.  He did this on 15 carries and avg. 9.8 yards a carry.  Second game of the year is on the road against New Mexico.  New Mexico lost to UTEP 31-24.  Giving up 446 total yards and 330 of them being on the ground.  Could not find foster on the DK salaries.  I think this one could be a great pick for the late games.

A lot of other tough match ups in the Pac 12 or matchups that don’t have the draw.  I really like D.J. Foster this week as my RB selection for the Pac 12

                  WR

                                    Nelson Agholor – USC (Away vs Stanford) $5,800 AVG. 22.7

                                    Agholor put up 2 TD’s last week against a sub-par defense Fresno State.  Stanford has a solid defense and will cause trouble to some of the WR’s, but Agholor being the #3 WR for USC should free him up for a chance to put up some big numbers and a TD or two in my thoughts.  Not a sexy pick but could be a decent pick for a last spot on the early games.

                                    Trevor Davis & Darius Powe – California (Home vs Sacrament State)

                                    Two players again not listed on the salaries but are the top to WR’s for CAL.  Sacramento State is a below level defense and with Goff.  Both I think will put up slightly above avg numbers if not over average.

Agholor is my pick again this week.  He is a favorite target in the red zone for USC and could put up some solid numbers!

                  TE

                                    Austin Hooper – Stanford (Home vs USC) $4.600 AVG. 16.3

                                    Stanford pro-style offense could create some mismatches for Hooper against the USC defense.  Hooper is the #1 TE for the cardinals.  He put up 63 yards and 1 TD in week 1 against UC Davis. 

I’m very California heavy this week but I think it could pay off big.

Carlos: Big 12 week 2

The Big 12 only offers only 4 games to choose from this week, as the other 4 have no listed players on the salary sheets.  I can only assume it's because they play FCS teams.

Quarterback

Davis Webb, Texas Tech, Price: $9700

·       The bad news, Texas Tech struggled against FCS Central Arkansas last week.  The good news, it wasn't the offense that was struggling.  Webb put up 452 yds and 4 tds through the air.  This week, TT plays a UTEP team who gave up 477 total yds of offense against New Mexico. I fully expect Webb to put up numbers comparable to last week, as TT has major problems on defense. This one should be another shootout for the Red Raiders.  It's not a value pick by any means, but if you are looking for a sure thing, Davis Webb is as good as it gets.  

·       Avg Pts: 34.88

·       Projected Pts: 32

Jake Waters, Kansas State, Price: $6900

·       Waters started the college football season off by carving up FCS Stephen F Austin.  Putting on a clinic both in the air and on the ground.  Going for 278 total yards and 4 td, 2 of each passing and running.  K-State opens up Big 12 play this week against Iowa State.  Who was carved up by FCS North Dakota State last week for 506 total yds of offense.  Waters put up 55 yds rushing and 223 yds through the air, throwing to everyone but his top target Tyler Lockett.  Expect them to get in more of a rythym through the air this week and more of the same on the ground, thus resulting in great numbers for the second week in a row. Jake Waters should give you almost comparable results as the aforementioned Davis Webb.

·       Avg Pts: 33.42

·       Projected Pts:

◦      31 pts

Running Back

DeAndre Washington, Texas Tech, Price: $5500

·       The Red Raiders take on in state foe UTEP Miners this week.  TT barely escaped last week against a lowly Central Arkansas squad but it certainly had nothing to do with the offense.  The Miners gave up 410 yds on the ground last week to New Mexico.  Although TT doesn't pound the rock a bunch, Washington still ended up with 20 carries last week.  This game should be a high scoring affair because of the swiss cheese defense that allowed 406 total yds to an FCS team last week.  Expect TT to exploit the Miners on the ground and Washington to finish around his average, but don't be surprised to see him exceed it. 

·       Avg Pts: 22.3

·       Projected Pts: 25

Keith Ford and Alex Ross, Oklahoma, Price: Ford: $5900, Ross: $4200

·       As expected last week, the Sooners triple headed monster had a monster day last week against La. Tech. Keith Ford had 9 car, 51 yds, 2 td also 4 rec for 65 yds and Ross had 11 car, 36 yds, 2 td also 2 rec for 31 yds.  They have a pretty balanced attack, as they ran 10 more times than they threw last week.  Last week, Tulsa gave up over 500yds of total offense, 254 of those on the ground to a lowly Tulane squad. Expect the Sooners to pound the ball at Tulane all day long, and as the top two guys on the depth chart, Ford and Ross should see similar results for a bit more yardage this week.

·       Avg Pts:

◦      Keith Ford: 27.6

◦      Alex Ross: 20.7

·       Projected Pts:

◦      Keith Ford: 26

◦      Alex Ross: 22

Wide Reciever

Reginald Davis and Jakeem Grant, Texas Tech, Price: Grant:$5600, Davis:$4900

·       As I stated above in the DeAndre Washington pick, TT will most likely be in another shootout as a result of their porous defense.  The Red Raider offense attempted 52 passes, hitting 11 different recievers last week with Bradley Marquez (11 rec) getting the bulk of them. But #2 and #3 were Grant (6 rec)and Davis(5 rec).  UTEP only gave up 67 yds in the air last week but that stat can be deceptive, as they were only thrown on 9 times.  Expect Davis Webb to spread the ball around in this shootout.

·       Avg Pts:

◦      Jakeem Grant: 10.8

◦      Reginald Davis: 16.4

·       Projected pts:

◦      Jakeem Grant: 16

◦      Reginald Davis: 14

Mitch Mathews, BYU, Price: $4700

·       BYU and it's high powered offense head in to Austin, TX to face the Longhorns this week. Last year's match up resulted in BYU putting up 679 total yds of offense on the horns.  The Cougars put up 513 yds of offense last week against UCONN and seem to be clicking on all cylinders led by their star QB Taysom Hill.  Texas played excellent defense last week against North Texas, holding them to just 94 yds of offense, but they aren't exactly BYU, and this isn't your daddy's Texas Longhorns.  Texas will be breaking in a new C and QB this week, and may struggle on offense as a result.  BYU will get it's top target Devon Blackmon back this week after a one game suspension but theres still plenty of love left for the #2 target.  Although it won't be the output they had against Texas last year, they should still be able to move the ball against a Longhorns team finding it's identity with a new coach.

·       Avg Pts: 16.2

·       Projected Pts:18

Tight End

Zach Trujillo, Kansas State, Price: $3100

·       See Above: Jake Waters, for rationale on the opponent this week.  Trujillo only had 3 rec last week for 29 yds, but is a big target at 6'5”, 266.  They are playing a team that has holes all over the place on defense and K-State should find themselves with plenty of opportunities in the red zone.  It's a reach, but if Trujillo ends up with one of those for a TD, this could be a decent value. Proceed with caution!

·       Avg pts: 5.9

·       Projected pts: 8

Week 2 Salaries

Week 2 salaries are up. With Thursday-Friday having so few games this week, we are going to focus on the Saturday games which are split into two slates. All games before 6:00 are on the early and all games 6:00 and later are on the late. Spreadsheets can by found through the links below.

Early

Late

Good luck with week 2!

Short week 1 recap

Well, so far, so good as our main week 1 lineup crushed putting up a cool 203 points despite a zero from Bryan Underwood. I played rather conservative week 1, so we are only +$21.80, but entries will increase if the success continues.

We were led by huge days from Todd Gurley, Tevin Coleman, and Ameer Abdullah, reminding me that the Big Ten still needs to be looked at, even though no one is assigned it.

Unfortunately, I was not able to make any Saturday night or Sunday lineups, so much of the Big 12 and Pac 12 were left out, but you guys did a very nice job with your picks.

There are only 3 games on the Thursday-Friday slate for this week

Summary:
Head-to-head: 9/10
Tournaments: 0/0
50/50: 16/19
+$21.80

Day 1: Here goes nothing!

I decided to make Thursday a test drive of sorts. Being a relatively short slate, with only a few games of interest, and mostly involving SEC schools anyway, I threw together a quick and dirty lineup. 

I used players almost exclusively from 4 games: A&M-South Carolina, Miss-Boise,  WSU-Rutgers, and ASU-Weber St.

The 3 running backss and Halliday seemed like must-plays as they project to get heavy workloads in high scoring games, and I just tried to fit around their salaries. Hopefully it works out.

Week 1 write-ups - ACC, Sean

Summary:

Week one in the ACC features a lot of freshman starters and a handful of games against the SEC and PAC-12 (actual games). So finding quality players matched up against garbage wasn’t exactly the easiest of tasks. My top pick is highlighted in yellow for each position, and individual player analyses are below.  I think, and hope, this will become easier as the weeks progress….

Quarterbacks:

Player	Team	FPPG	Cost	Analysis
Chad Voytik	PITT	0.2	5000	A first year PITT starter and Florida transfer. Not the best numbers at Florida, but, for the price, he might be worth looking at if there isn’t anything better. Pitt is up against a Delaware team that should be able to attempt to keep up offensively, so I think we will see an elevated number of attempts.
Anthony Boone	Duke	14.4	5800	A little more expensive than Voytik, but at least there are some numbers to support Boone. Duke is up against Elon in week one, and based on last year’s success, coupled with little player turnover, it should be an easy win. I don’t see Boone being pulled in this game, as he was still a work-in-progress for most of last season (broken collarbone and INTs). I look for him to step it up this season, and to produce top-level numbers at a mid-level price in week one. He might be the best value at QB in the ACC, week 1.

Running Backs:

Player	Team	FPPG	Cost	Analysis
Kevin Parks	UV	21.9	5200	As the 5th most FPPG for RBs on Saturday’s lineup, Parks’ cost is more than 1,000 less than other RBs with similar FPPG.  The value seems high, but playing for VA, against UCLA might keep his numbers lower than other options for the price.
T.J. Logan	UNC	12.3	4900	As a sophomore, Logan looks to see his first season as a featured back. Last season he scored 4 TDs in 9 games as an RB and asses 2 more TDs on special teams. His avg FPPG are lower than Parks’ but UNC is playing a much weaker opponent, and I would look to see better numbers from Logan.

Receivers:                        

Player	Team	FPPG	Cost	Analysis
Bryan Underwood	NCST	15.5	4,600	Underwood seems to be by far the best value at the WR position. He is coming of a season that ended a month early because of a collarbone injury, but there is no evidence to say that will be a hindrance to his production this season.  In his last complete season, Underwood scored 10 TDs in the first 8 games, including at least 1 TD in each of those games.  I think the cost-benefit here is worth a go.
Kevin White	WV	11.8	4,000	White is earning a mention in that he is the only WR in his price range that seems to have consistent yardage per game. He averages 10+ YPC, and 7 RPG. He also has the most TDs of the WRs in his range. The downfall here is that West Virginia plays Alabama, which could be spun as a positive or a negative, depending on how you look at it.

Tight Ends:

Player	Team	FPPG	Cost	Analysis
Ben Koyack	ND	10.7	2700	From a cost-benefit standpoint, Koyack seems to be the only TE worth mentioning this week. He has a high FPPG when compared to other TEs in the ACC and is cost is a bit lower. With the return of Golson at QB, and a relatively easy matchup against Rice, I see Koyack as the best available option.

Aside from this being a pain in the ass to convert to blogger because of how you played with the margins, well done, Sean.